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December 27, 2025 7:18 (London Time)

Eli Lilly and Company

November was best November ever for native-born Americans, up more than 2.6 million over the last 12 months. Number of foreign-born workers with jobs declined over this period by 21,000. Unemployment rate rose to the highest level since late 2016/early 2017 – if you exclude the Covid era, where many people did not have to work. Tucker Carlson: Free speech was the whole point of Charlie Kirks public life. And I think that I think he died for it. And I really believe that. And people who do it. Wolf Richter is keeping track of the last traces of a dying republic where transparency, integrity, and true price discovery used to reign. 99% of inflation reporting/discussions are based upon 12 month (YOY) figures. YOY smooths much of this out an inflation is legitimately coming. This is a longer-than-usual podcast with Paul Kiker and me. We discussed four big topic areas: Silver (and gold), The so-called “jobless recovery,”... But we hate corporate and three letter agency AI bots. Wolf Richter: The people accepting sub-5% yields on the USs spiraling 10-30 year debt are tragically heroic. Condo prices already dropped by 12% to 30% in these 28 Bigger Markets. Wolf says the last CPI inflation report was marred by missing data. We have entered the Golden Age of Propaganda. This YIR is transitional and, in all probability, disappointing for some. At last check Grok ranked me fourth behind Michael Burry. Strauss and Howe predicted in 1996 that the next fourth turning would show up circa 2010 and probably be triggered (but not caused) by a financial crisis. Tucker Carlson interviewed Glenn Greenwald, Mike Benz, Walter Kirn and Nikola Nikola. California is a spawning ground for bad ideas. Barry Ritholtz speaks with Samantha McLemore, founder and CIO of Patient Capital Management. We discuss value investing has changed, investing in crypto, and the AI revolution. We also discussed long-term investing and the ways her firm is using AI. Barry Ritholtz: The Doomsday Glacier is getting closer and closer to Irreversible Collapse. The tulip bubble is the most famous financial bubble in history, but as historical examples go it also is misleading. California home sales rose in November from both the previous month. Anti-AI sentiment might not be rational, but relies on a lot of bad arguments. Andy Masley has debunked every single version of the “AI uses lots of water” narrative. Regunberg claims that an AI crash would wipe out normal Americans. China is the source of almost half of the top AI talent in the world. Domination of the global AI industry is going to largely come down to which country can attract more Chinese talent. Bitcoin is now a reserve asset, not contraband. Bitcoin crashed in November after profit-taking above $100,000, ETF outflows, and an estimated $20 billion leverage flush in October. Long-dormant “OG” wallets moved and sold hundreds of thousands of Bitcoin into strength, which many read as “smart money top-ticking the cycle” Trump-linked companies created the template for “official” political memecoins. Bitcoin price dropped to support once again last week, and the bulls defended it well, pushing the price back up to $88,656. The episode highlighted a critical point for a market where derivatives define the tape. Bitcoins 2026 all-time high stops sounding like a magical break of fate; it starts sounding like an extension of structural shift that began when the market moved on chain demand into traditional financial wrappers. The approach toward 20 million coins mined lands as a psychological marker. Investors are testing Bitcoin and tokenized gold as settlement rails built for stress. 2026 is likely to be a altcoin treasury year, says Melanion Capital CEO Jad Comair. Strategy, Forward Industries, BitMine, Bitmine, The Ether Machine and Metaplanet emerged as the years defining treasury players. China issues first 2026 fuel export quotas for the new year.
Sector: Pharmaceuticals
Ticker: LLY
Sentiment: 0.9447
MarketCap: 307.99B
High: 1081.39 Low: 1068.3

Open: 1076.91 Close: 1077.75 Change: 0.84

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December 27, 2025 11:40 (London Time)

Eli Lilly and Company

Federal government civilian headcount got slashed by 162,000 in October and by 172,000 over the three months of September, October, and November. Have we reached Peak Debt? It seems likely, and the future will be dominated. Wall Street took heart from the data and ended higher today. The BLS has relied on outdated methods, questionable data, and endless revisions for decades. Inflation and people FEELING poor is how elections are lost. We are in what Jeremy Grantham calls our third and probably most epic asset bubble in only 25 years. We no longer know what is real even if we see it with our lying eyes because of AI. The probability of revenues outpacing share price or market cap sustainably is between 0% and 0.0%. Mark OConnor: Meghan McCain parroting Cruzs and Levins attacks almost verbatim is odd and difficult to understand. Tucker Carlson reams out Ted Cruz in an interview that was a scene from Deliverance. The Elephant in the Brain hits a range of topics including the origins of laughter. Interest payments and tax receipts have doubled since the pandemic pandemic. PEPFAR has helped strengthen the continents health-care systems. Central banks have been diversifying away from assets denominated in USD and RMB. Case-Shiller National Index increased 1.3% year-over-year (YoY) in September. Joan Taylor, Professor Emerita of Christian Origins and Second Temple Judaism, Kings College London, says the Christmas story is one in which peace and joy are proclaimed. Candace Owens, the self-proclaimed most popular podcaster in the world, was absent from the TPUSA conference. Samantha Macklemore is founder and CIO of Patient Capital Management. Barry Ritholtz is co-founder, chairman, and chief investment officer of Ritholz Wealthy Management LLC. Mark Obeidallah: Having the right mindset is probably the most important thing. Tesla has created like a green light for, giving away additional equity. ZoomInfo gave its founder and its CEO nearly 10 million shares to incentivize him. Geriatric veterinary care is in great shape, with dogs and cats living on average 11.3 years. U.S. data centers are being built out at a stupendous rate, exceeding the 1990s telecom boom and drawing comparisons to the railroad boom of the 1800s. China is a scientific and technological leader, but it doesnt seem to be driving breakthrough progress the way the US, Britain, Japan, and Germany did. This is a longer edition of the Portfolio Construction newsletter, presenting the many ways that I have witnessed anti-scientific tendencies in finance and economics academia. Fartcoin (+14%), SPX (+12%), and PUMP (+9%) led gains. Bitcoin dropped 30% and is finishing the year down single digits. Bitcoin tested support repeatedly, failed to reclaim higher levels. Buying and trading cryptocurrencies should be considered a high-risk activity. Bitcoin traded volatily throughout 2025 while the S&P 500 and gold maintained steady upward trajectories, with Bitcoin currently around $87,982. The market is treating gold and silver as legitimate crisis hedges and treating Bitcoin as something else. The risk is that silvers run is now crowded and fragile. Bitcoin price dropped to support once again last week, and the bulls defended it well, pushing the price back up to close the week out at $88,656. Bulls will want to continue the push this week, level by level if need be. The more touches on support, the weaker it gets and the more likely it is to fail. Crypto gaming has experienced a growing trend of games closing down. The Clarity Act and concerns over whale selling drove a $952 million outflow from digital asset investment products. China issues first batch of fuel export quotas for new year, at a total of 19 million tons. Iran halted pipeline gas deliveries to Iraq this week, leaving Baghdad and other major Iraqi cities with an electricity gap of 4,500 MW. Iran halts pipeline gas. Iraq and Kurdistan extend oil export deal to March 2026.
Sector: Pharmaceuticals
Ticker: LLY
Sentiment: -0.9023
MarketCap: 307.99B
High: 1081.39 Low: 1068.3

Open: 1076.91 Close: 1077.75 Change: 0.84

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